Recommendation in an evolving service ecosystem based on network prediction

Abstract

Service computing plays a critical role in business automation and we can observe a rapid increase of web services and their compositions nowadays. Web services, their compositions, providers, consumers, and other entities such as context information, collectively form an evolving service ecosystem. Many service recommendation methods have been proposed to facilitate the use of services. However, existing approaches are mostly based on all-time statistics of usage patterns, and overlook the temporal aspect, i.e., the evolution of the ecosystem. As a result, recommendation may consist of obsolete services and also does not reflect the latest trend in the ecosystem. In order to overcome this limitation, we propose an innovative three-phase network prediction approach (NPA) for evolution-aware recommendation. First, we introduce a network series model to formalize the evolution of the service ecosystem and then develop a network analysis method to study the usage pattern with a special focus on its temporal evolution. Afterward a novel service network prediction method based on rank aggregation is proposed to predict the evolution of the network. Finally, using the network prediction model, we present how to recommend potential compositions, top services and service chains, respectively. Experiments on the real-world Programmable Web data set show that our method achieves a superior performance in service recommendation, compared with those that are agnostic to the evolution of a service ecosystem. © 2004-2012 IEEE.